BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Basketball

Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.


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Mount Ayr

Class: 1A Class Rank: 118 Conference: (2-14) Overall: (6-16) Overall Strength =   45.89

  N Date       Location  C  Stren  We They Levl Rank ( W- L) Opponent               Resid I Predict
  1 11/26/2007 Home    L    50.71  51   52   1A   98 (18- 4) Murray                  2.18     -3.18                      
  2 11/27/2007 Away    W    44.03  62   61   1A  126 ( 8-12) Mormon Trail           -4.49      5.49                      
  3 11/30/2007 Away    L *  36.75  49   78   2A   99 (12-10) Corning               -11.77    -17.23                      
  4 12/04/2007 Away    L *  40.05  44   46   1A  129 ( 4-18) Afton East Union       -8.47      6.47                      
  5 12/07/2007 Home    L *  51.88  37   63   1A   12 (24- 2) Bedford                 3.36 *  -29.36                      
  6 12/14/2007 Away    L *  45.34  43   55   2A  120 ( 9-11) Truro Interstate-35    -3.19     -8.81                      
  7 12/18/2007 Home    L *  38.89  38   61   2A   99 (12-10) Corning                -9.64    -13.36                      
  8 12/20/2007 Away    L    39.02  43   55   1A  104 (14- 6) Lamoni                 -9.50     -2.50                      
  9 01/04/2008 Home    W *  53.97  72   34   1A  139 ( 1-20) Martensdale M-SM        5.45 *   32.55                      
 10 01/07/2008 Home    W    45.75  49   46   3A   64 ( 1-20) Osceola Clarke         -2.78      5.78                      
 11 01/08/2008 Home    L *  42.99  55   68   1A   84 (10-12) Lenox                  -5.53     -7.47                      
 12 01/11/2008 Away    L *  55.56  69   75   2A  114 (13-10) Leon Central Decatur    7.04    -13.04                      
 13 01/15/2008 Home    W *  51.19  78   65   1A  129 ( 4-18) Afton East Union        2.66     10.34                      
 14 01/17/2008 Away    L *  45.65  36   77   2A   32 (22- 3) Nodaway Valley         -2.87 *  -38.13  was 12/11 now maybe 01/17
 15 01/18/2008 Home    L *  61.56  53   59   2A   74 (21- 2) Corydon Wayne          13.03    -19.03                      
 16 01/21/2008 Home    W    56.32  75   70   2A  124 ( 9-12) Clarinda Academy        7.80     -2.80                      
 17 01/22/2008 Away    L *  58.75  54   77   1A   12 (24- 2) Bedford                10.23 *  -33.23                      
 18 01/25/2008 Away    L *  49.05  61   70   1A   88 (13-10) Southeast Warren        0.53     -9.53                      
 19 01/31/2008 Home    L *  49.79  34   67   2A   32 (22- 3) Nodaway Valley          1.26 *  -34.26  was 01/29 now 01/31 
 20 02/01/2008 Home    L *  31.18  36   60   2A  113 ( 9-12) Pleasantville         -17.34     -6.66                      
 21 02/11/2008 Home    W    64.21  84   40   1A  140 ( 6-15) Diagonal               15.69 *   28.31                      
 22 02/14/2008 Home    L *  54.88  53   76   1A   12 (24- 2) Bedford                 6.36 *  -29.36                      
      Averages              48.53  53.5 61.6

Best game:   64.21 = 44 point win over Diagonal
Worst game:  31.18 = 24 point loss to Pleasantville
Team stdev:   8.44